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Methodologies to calibrate loads and validate power distribution system models are presented in this paper. The calibration methodology makes use of information contained in historical load and measurement data to adjust loads including the system losses and forecast future load conditions. This unified methodology has been applied to calibrate the loads of distribution systems with varying degrees...
This article presents a method to estimate and to visualize the certainty of land change models as they extrapolate beyond the time interval for which empirical data exist. The method to project the certainty relies on measurements of model performance during a validation run with historic data and on the assumption that the model’s accuracy approaches randomness as it predicts farther into the future...
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