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This paper addresses the determination of the maximum penetration rate of renewable energy sources (RES) in island power systems. This issue is analyzed through a probabilistic approach which gives an interesting set of results giving to system operators the possibility to faces challenges brought up by massive RES connections. RES, especially wind farms and photovoltaic solar plants may affect significantly...
This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including cut-off and cut-in behaviours. The wind turbine is modeled as a stochastic hybrid system with three operation modes. Numerical results, obtained using Monte-Carlo...
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